Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 19.731486 22.782805 26.080033 29.899146 34.191911 38.858820 44.306999
2025-09-21 14.306921 18.468033 23.396012 29.620263 37.225650 46.167207 57.421624
2025-09-28 10.885377 15.381390 21.110509 28.852157 38.932462 51.494852 68.198926
2025-10-05 9.574908 14.545201 21.256110 30.812033 43.871679 60.872616 84.412372
2025-10-12 8.492843 13.757894 21.237762 32.382343 48.254554 69.688804 100.382370
2025-10-19 7.325015 12.616955 20.505392 32.765764 50.902384 76.224952 113.601003
2025-10-26 6.343624 11.580153 19.746154 32.943995 53.156756 82.242331 126.353500
2025-11-02 5.415244 10.467990 18.702275 32.521947 54.399092 86.789072 137.175612
2025-11-09 4.607669 9.423066 17.614917 31.871959 55.164258 90.588807 147.022459
2025-11-16 3.915213 8.465699 16.539670 31.094777 55.603492 93.841949 156.139988
2025-11-23 3.273535 7.493517 15.307535 29.899662 55.218366 95.724943 163.179326
2025-11-30 3.028941 7.257076 15.355676 30.903667 58.517117 103.559360 179.837217
2025-12-07 2.735779 6.906310 15.207865 31.649903 61.620989 111.570290 197.738355
2025-12-14 2.332493 6.255298 14.415810 31.159699 62.586087 116.229338 210.686000
2025-12-21 1.958465 5.592408 13.502272 30.324397 62.838420 119.677672 221.813081
2025-12-28 1.887090 5.630358 14.037979 32.364039 68.499460 132.695349 249.632925
2026-01-04 1.785922 5.574915 14.362703 34.001140 73.510827 144.842420 276.555219
2026-01-11 1.603575 5.273510 14.103185 34.400864 76.170978 152.955861 296.897682
2026-01-18 1.429566 4.957058 13.763467 34.586716 78.408762 160.407704 316.415875
2026-01-25 1.241101 4.556801 13.167944 34.146533 79.345973 165.502760 331.960133
2026-02-01 1.065928 4.152876 12.501824 33.468558 79.726467 169.551712 345.775828
2026-02-08 0.909026 3.764761 11.814335 32.657809 79.747643 172.889766 358.410550
2026-02-15 0.756701 3.348472 10.984850 31.410848 78.722634 174.122784 367.155627